May 19, 2012

Finance Matters: Estate Taxes and Your Government Absent From Work

Lots of people work hard all their life to put some money away for their retirement and leave behind some funds for the next generation.  If they’re prudent with their investments and live within their means, this can total a few million dollars. A few million dollars is nothing to scarf at, but it doesn’t put you in the same league as Bill Gates.  Owning a small business, having some real estate and a good retirement plan will often add up over time. The research and consulting firm, Spectrum Group, says that in 2009 there were 7.8 million families with a net worth of $1 million, excluding their primary residences. 

Some folks claim these people represent a “privileged” class of Americans, especially during these times of rampant foreclosures and high unemployment. Somehow, success in achieving the American  Dream has turned into a bad thing. I wonder what would happen if everyone felt this way and simply stopped working.  Then all the naysayers should be happy.  Of course, there wouldn’t be any tax money to pay for all the wonderful things that the government does for you, but that’s besides the point.

A part of being prudent with your money is the responsibility of doing some estate planning. Estate planning helps control what your heirs get, when, and on what terms.  It also helps in keeping down the taxes paid at death.  This isn’t evading taxes. It’s paying what you legally owe and no more.  In order to properly plan, it’s necessary that the government initiate regulations that the public can expect will be stable enough for plans to be projected into the future. After all, no one knows when they are going to die and people can’t be expected to change their estate planning every five minutes.

Under the Bush Administration, Congress passed a major tax bill entitled the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2001 (EGTRRA) that dealt with a number of estate planning issues. Many provisions of this bill were set to lapse in 2010. This would allow Congress to take up the matter again and decide what to do in for the future. Instead, Congress has let the Act lapse and thrown everything into turmoil. 

In 2009, the estate tax exemption was set at $3.5 million. Putting it another way, estates under that amount paid no federal estate taxes. In 2010, when EGTRRA lapsed, there was no estate tax regardless of the size. In 2011, the estate tax exemption returns to the pre-2001 level of $1 million.

Unfortunately most Americans think this issue has no direct impact on them. After all, only 1 in 160 people who die a year owe estate taxes. Perhaps these people should rethink their position.

Because of Congress fumbling the ball, the family of Yankee owner, George Steinbrenner, was able to escape estate taxes estimated up to $600 million. Combined with the deaths of three other billionaires in 2010, it cost the government $6.5 billion in taxes. In a time of economic recovery, letting this kind of revenue get away can not bode well for the popularity polls in Washington.

Secondly, if we return to the $1 million exemption in 2011, small businesses could suffer “liquidity” problems when trying to raise funds to pay the taxes. This can lead to the liquidation of many businesses along with the loss of jobs. I thought Congress said they were trying to create jobs. You don’t  do it by closing small businesses.

The likelihood is that Congress will act upon this mess and in all probability will simply extend the provisions of EGTTRA for a couple more years. Of course, they could have done this in the first place and avoided the problems caused by their screwup.

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.

Glenn “Chip” Dahlke, a Senior Contributor to The Living Trust Network, has 30 years in the investment business. He is a Registered Representative with LPL Financial and a principal with Dahlke Financial Group. He is registered to transact securities business with persons who are residents of the following states: CA. CT, FL, GA, IL. MA, MD. ME, MI. NC, NH, NJ, NY.OR, PA, RI, VA, VT, WY. Securities offered through LPL Financial. Member FINRA/SIPC. Contact him at chipdahlke@dahlkefinancial.com or at his office on Ashlawn Farm in Lyme, CT (860) 434-4261.

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Investing for the Rest of Us: Part I

Charting a Course for the Future

As the dust settles from the Wall Street meltdown of 2008, the average investor needs to chart a course that threads its way through future growth and perils.  Simply relying on the old investment adages may not be the wisest course.  Here are some things to think about.

1)      Wall Street is not your friend.

At this point, it should come as no surprise that the goal on Wall Street is to make money for Wall Street, rather than giving investment advice that the average investor can actually benefit from.  Washington makes a lot of noise about reform, but don’t hold your breath about anything happening.

We have gone through two major Wall Street screw ups since 2000 that cost most individual investors a good chunk of their portfolios.  First was the attempt to convince everyone that there was a “new math” on how to value companies that had some relationship to the internet and after that didn’t exactly work out, Wall Street moved to use the environment of easy money to package high risk real estate mortgages that fell apart when real estate values started to decline.

Even though most investors never owned internet stocks or CDO’s, the collapse of these products helped drive down the stock market in general.  To thrive, Wall Street must continue to find and distribute economic “hot spot” products.  A good bet in the future might be derivatives created from “cap and trade.”  After all, trading air seems ready-made for the street.

2)      Take a new look at “asset allocation.”

Although asset allocation models do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss, they have become the standard of investment models for many investors.  The theory itself is over 50-years-old.

The world has changed since Dwight Eisenhower was in the White House.  Thanks to a developing global economy, asset class correlations are becoming more similar and this increases volatility in a portfolio.

Don’t exit asset allocation like the last helicopter out of Saigon, but do avoid the rigid “pigeon holing” of asset classes that’s become prevalent in asset allocation design.  Investment managers today need the flexibility to move a little if the asset class returns really moves against them.

You can’t take your boat out without a life preserver on board.  Your portfolio should be no different.

3)      Does passive indexing investing still work?

Index investing was the “flavor of the month” back in the 1990’s when proponents of “efficient markets” promoted that it was so difficult to beat the market that everyone’s best bet was simply to mirror a market index and go to the beach.

Today, the market is full of inefficiencies and with the S&P 500 flat-lining over the last decade, it’s time to pour the sand out of your shoes and get back in the game.

4)      Portfolio “compression” is the next best idea.

The average investor doesn’t need to squeeze all the upside out of a bull market, as long as there’s some protection against the next bear.

Cutting portfolio volatility should be on your new year’s resolution list.  The future market road will continue to be rough and rocky roads, which generally demand good shock absorbers.

If you are a competent investment mechanic, by all means install them yourself.  If you need a qualified mechanic, seek one out.

If you enjoy a really rough ride, just hang on with your current portfolio.  You may get a few teeth knocked out, but that’s not what’s going to hurt the most.

Although the stock market is going through a tough patch, it’s still where a lot of the action is to outpace inflation and grow funds for the future. No promises, no guarantees, but that’s always been the story from the beginning.  Going forward, caution will be your best friend.

One old adage you will still be able to hold near and dear is that if it looks too good, it probably is.

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing.

Glenn “Chip” Dahlke, a Senior Contributor to The Living Trust Network, has 30 years in the investment business.  He is a Registered Representative of LPL Financial with Dahlke Financial Group.  He is licensed to transact securities business with persons who are residents of the following states: CA. CT, FL, GA, IL. MA, MD. ME, MI. NC, NH, NJ, NY.OR, PA, RI, VA, VT, WY.  Contact him atchipdahlke@dahlkefinancial.com

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Recovering From Investment Paralysis

Recovering From Investment Paralysis
 
Now is the time to start preparing for market recovery.  Yes, there will be a recovery.  Maybe sooner, maybe later- what matters is that there will be an end to these economic blues and better to be prepared than not.

Anyone simply hanging on to their ravaged portfolio until “it comes back” may want to reconsider their position.  It’s time to get involved with your investments and filing away those monthly statements without opening the envelope is not the involvement I’m talking about.
 
This isn’t to say that good stocks don’t go through bad periods.  When the tide goes out on the stock market, many otherwise stable companies get dragged out in the undertow.  The point is that sticking your head in the sand and simply waiting for the market to sort itself out is a form of “investment paralysis,” a dangerous condition that is the inability to make a decision – any decision – because of market uncertainty.
 
Here are a few simple steps to shake off the paralysis and get your portfolio moving again in the right direction.
 
1)      Take a deep breath and put it all in perspective.  Time for a reality check.  For most investors, the recent past was a train wreck.  A huge fiery, smashing, crunching, metal twisting wreck.  Be confident though that the economic tracks will be cleared and the railroads will run again.  They may not run over all the same ground, but run they will.
 
2)      Stabilize the portfolio.  Before the recovery gets underway, there is the chance that further losses may take place and you should stop the bleeding.  Weed out the worst of your portfolio.  This will both lock in capital losses to offset future capital gains and create a cash position that helps stabilize returns.  This cash can later be put in play when the recovery is evident. 
 
3)      Rebuild beginning with today’s value.  In hindsight, maybe you could have done something different, but you didn’t. Rebuilding begins with what remains within your control.
 
4)      Expand your time horizon.  Unless you have an immediate need to access your funds or don’t plan to be around in future, set your sights on five years from now, not five days.  This doesn’t mean that short term opportunities don’t exist, but the longer perspective helps to give an insight to the big picture, which should dominate your overall investment strategy.
 
5)      Separate yourself from the herd.  Warren Buffett has said, “You are neither right nor wrong because the crowd disagrees with you.  You are right because your data and reasoning are right”.  Common sense should prevail.  Sure the auto industry is in the dumps today.  Does that mean we will all stop buying cars?  If we don’t replace our aging chariots, most of us will be walking.  Does this make sense?
 
So get those unopened statements out of the draw and rip them open.  It’ll only hurt for a little while.
 
The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing.

Glenn “Chip” Dahlke, a Senior Contributor to The Living Trust Network, has 30 years in the investment business.  He is a Registered Representative of LPL Financial with Dahlke Financial Group.  He is licensed to transact securities business with persons who are residents of the following states: CA. CT, FL, GA, IL. MA, MD. ME, MI. NC, NH, NJ, NY.OR, PA, RI, VA, VT, WY.  Contact him at chipdahlke@dahlkefinancial.com

 

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